World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round
Sep 5, 2024 at 5pm UK
Basra Sport City Stadium
Iraq1 - 0Oman
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Iraq 3-1 Vietnam
Tuesday, June 11 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, June 11 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Iraq | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Japan | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Indonesia | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Vietnam | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Last Game: Oman 1-1 Kyrgyzstan
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Thailand | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 3 | Oman | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Kyrgyzstan | 3 | -4 | 1 |
We said: Iraq 2-0 Oman
While both sides showed their quality in the second round of World Cup Qualifying, we see Iraq as the stronger of the two nations and back them to get up and running in the new group with a victory on home soil. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iraq win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Oman had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iraq win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Oman win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iraq in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Iraq.
| Result | ||
| Iraq | Draw | Oman |
37.9% ( 0.06) | 27.65% ( 0.01) | 34.45% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 48.76% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
