Each of the previous four meetings between Bulgaria and North Macedonia have been closely-fought encounters and another could be on the cards on Thursday. However, considering the visitors have impressed against European giants Italy and Portugal in recent months, we can see them edging this contest in Razgrad. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.82%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Bulgaria	Draw	North Macedonia
29.78% ( -0.03)	22.45% ( 0.01)	47.77% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 64.58% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.3% (

-0.06)

35.7% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.23% (

-0.06)

57.77% (

0.06)

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.32% (

-0.05)

23.68% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.21% (

-0.07)

57.79% (

0.07)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.61% (

-0.02)

15.39% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.8% (

-0.03)

44.2% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Bulgaria 29.78%

North Macedonia 47.77%

Draw 22.45%

Bulgaria	Draw	North Macedonia
2-1 @ 7.08% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.78% 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 29.78%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.45%	1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.73% 2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.68% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.93% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 47.77%