Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 62.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.
