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Malawi national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Sep 7, 2021 at 2pm UK
 
Mozambique national football team

Malawi
1 - 0
Mozambique

Mbulu (10')
Idana (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Malawi and Mozambique, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 46.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 26.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Mozambique win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malawi in this match.

Result
MalawiDrawMozambique
46.68%26.72%26.59%
Both teams to score 48.11%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.77%56.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.72%77.28%
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92%24.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64%58.36%
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.37%36.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.58%73.42%
Score Analysis
    Malawi 46.68%
    Mozambique 26.59%
    Draw 26.72%
MalawiDrawMozambique
1-0 @ 12.55%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 8.94%
3-1 @ 4.26%
3-0 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.82%
2-2 @ 4.51%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 8.86%
1-2 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.12%
2-3 @ 1.51%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 26.59%

How you voted: Malawi vs Mozambique

Malawi
20.0%
Draw
56.7%
Mozambique
23.3%
30
Head to Head
Jul 11, 2021 4pm
Group Stage
Mozambique
2-0
Malawi
J. Tesoura Junior (55' pen.), Nelson Simbine (68')
Muze (53'), J. Tesoura Junior (60'), M. Nangy (65'), A. Siluane (89')

Chirwa (14'), Kuwali (22')
rhs 2.0
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