Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Bosnia-Herzegovina win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
