World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 1st Leg

Oct 12, 2023 at 10.30am UK

Myanmar
5 - 1
Macao

(Myanmar win 5-1 on aggregate)

Moe Aung (39', 90+5'), Moe Kyaw (62'), Aung Kaung (81'), Nay Moe (90+1')
Aung Kaung (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Torrao (55')
Seng Ng (42'), Torrao (48')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Myanmar and Macao.

Form, Standings, Stats

Myanmar

Last Game: Myanmar 1-0 Nepal
Monday, September 11 at 11.30am in International Friendlies

Macao

Last Game: Cambodia 4-0 Macao
Monday, September 11 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Myanmar win with a probability of 83.04%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Macao had a probability of 4.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Myanmar win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.96%) and 1-0 (12.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.63%), while for a Macao win it was 0-1 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Myanmar would win this match.

Result
Myanmar	Draw	Macao
83.04% ( 0.01)	12.5% ( -0.01)	4.46% ( -0)

Both teams to score 32.37% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.06% (

0.01)

42.94% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.66% (

0.01)

65.34% (

-0.01)

Myanmar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.11% (

7.89% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.07% (

0.01)

27.93% (

-0.01)

Macao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

35.14% (

-0)

64.86% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.06% (

-0)

92.94%

Score Analysis

Myanmar 83.03%

Macao 4.46%

Draw 12.5%

Myanmar	Draw	Macao
2-0 @ 16.5% 3-0 @ 13.96% 1-0 @ 12.99% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 8.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0) 5-0 @ 4.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.84% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 4.01% Total : 83.03%	1-1 @ 5.63% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0) 2-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 12.5%	0-1 @ 2.22% ( -0) 1-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.03% Total : 4.46%