Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Namibia win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Congo had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Namibia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Congo win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
