World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 1st Leg
Oct 12, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
Dashrath Rangasala
Nepal1 - 1Laos
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Nepal and Laos.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Myanmar 1-0 Nepal
Monday, September 11 at 11.30am in International Friendlies
Monday, September 11 at 11.30am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Nepal 2-1 Laos
Friday, March 31 at 12.45pm in International Friendlies
Friday, March 31 at 12.45pm in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nepal win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Laos had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nepal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Laos win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nepal | Draw | Laos |
53.64% ( 1.24) | 24.12% ( -0.59) | 22.23% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 51.42% ( 0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.28% ( 1.68) | 49.71% ( -1.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( 1.49) | 71.72% ( -1.49) |
| Nepal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.54% ( 1.13) | 18.46% ( -1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.35% ( 1.87) | 49.64% ( -1.88) |
| Laos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.06% ( 0.31) | 36.94% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.27% ( 0.31) | 73.72% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
Nepal 53.64%
Laos 22.23%
Draw 24.12%
| Nepal | Draw | Laos |
| 1-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.26)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.27% Total : 53.64% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.48)2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.72% Total : 22.23% |
