World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 6, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Nacional Dennis Martinez
Nicaragua4 - 1Montserrat
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Nicaragua and Montserrat.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guatemala 1-1 Nicaragua
Monday, May 27 at 1am in International Friendlies
Monday, May 27 at 1am in International Friendlies
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Montserrat 4-2 Barbados
Monday, November 20 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
Monday, November 20 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 89.32%. A draw had a probability of 7.7% and a win for Montserrat had a probability of 2.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 4-0 (10.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.65%), while for a Montserrat win it was 0-1 (1.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nicaragua | Draw | Montserrat |
89.32% ( 0.02) | 7.69% ( -0.01) | 2.99% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 39.82% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
