World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 21, 2023 at 9am UK
Jinnah Sports Stadium
Pakistan1 - 6Tajikistan
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Pakistan and Tajikistan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 4-0 Pakistan
Thursday, November 16 at 4.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, November 16 at 4.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Last Game: Tajikistan 1-1 Jordan
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 11.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.83%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Pakistan win it was 1-0 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pakistan | Draw | Tajikistan |
11.5% ( 0.12) | 19.84% ( 0.07) | 68.66% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 42.27% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
