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World Cup header WWW

World Cup
Poland national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Narodowy
Lithuania national football team

Poland
vs.
Lithuania

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Europe Group Stage clash between Poland and Lithuania.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
Last Game: Poland 1-2 Scotland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Lithuania

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Kosovo 1-0 Lithuania
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Poland win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Lithuania has a probability of 26.45% and a draw has a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Lithuania win is 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.01%).

Result
PolandDrawLithuania
48.29% (0.68 0.68) 25.26% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 26.45% (-0.629 -0.63)
Both teams to score 52.35% (-0.357 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.35% (-0.227 -0.23)50.65% (0.231 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.44% (-0.201 -0.2)72.56% (0.205 0.2)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (0.20400000000001 0.2)20.99% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.23% (0.314 0.31)53.76% (-0.311 -0.31)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (-0.624 -0.62)33.73% (0.627 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.61% (-0.685 -0.69)70.39% (0.687 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Poland 48.29%
    Lithuania 26.45%
    Draw 25.26%
PolandDrawLithuania
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.63% (0.183 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.122 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 48.29%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.08% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 26.45%

Who will win Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Poland and Lithuania?

Poland
Draw
Lithuania
Poland
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Lithuania
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Jun 12, 2018 5pm
International Friendlies
Poland
4-0
Lithuania
Lewandowski (19', 32'), Kownacki (71'), Blaszczykowski (82' pen.)
Goralski (46')

Sernas (53')
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