MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 20:59:59| >> :600:540090:540090:
Poland national football team
Nations League | League A
Nov 18, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Narodowy
Scotland national football team

Poland
1 - 2
Scotland

Piatkowski (59')
Zielinski (79'), Buksa (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McGinn (3'), Robertson (90+3')
McLean (31'), Christie (70'), McGinn (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Nations League clash between Poland and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Portugal 5-1 Poland
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 1-0 Croatia
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Poland 2-1 Scotland

These nations played out a five-goal thriller back in September, and more goals could flow in Warsaw, as the home side are particularly shaky at the back. However, Scotland often fail to make the most of their chances and could ultimately be punished by their Polish counterparts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for Scotland had a probability of 24.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Scotland win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
PolandDrawScotland
52.99% (1.396 1.4) 22.53% (-0.343 -0.34) 24.48% (-1.053 -1.05)
Both teams to score 59.44% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61% (0.593 0.59)40.38% (-0.593 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.24% (0.609 0.61)62.76% (-0.60899999999999 -0.61)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7% (0.693 0.69)15.29% (-0.694 -0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.99% (1.286 1.29)44.01% (-1.287 -1.29)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)29.82% (0.506 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.1% (-0.61600000000001 -0.62)65.9% (0.614 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Poland 52.99%
    Scotland 24.48%
    Draw 22.52%
PolandDrawScotland
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.04% (0.164 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.182 0.18)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.218 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.151 0.15)
4-0 @ 2.36% (0.156 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.73% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 52.99%
1-1 @ 10.36% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.56% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.52%
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.233 -0.23)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 24.48%

How you voted: Poland vs Scotland

Poland
57.2%
Draw
18.4%
Scotland
24.4%
250
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2024 7.45pm
League A
Scotland
2-3
Poland
Gilmour (46'), McTominay (76')
Szymanski (8'), Lewandowski (44' pen.), Zalewski (90+7' pen.)
Dawidowicz (35'), Zalewski (52'), Slisz (84')
Mar 24, 2022 7.45pm
International Friendly
Scotland
1-1
Poland
Tierney (68')
Piatek (90+4' pen.)
Reca (70')
Oct 8, 2015 7.45pm
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
Mar 5, 2014 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Poland
0-1
Scotland
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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