We say: Cyprus 1-0 Lithuania
Cyprus have produced just one goal so far in Group 2, but home advantage could help them repeat their 1-0 win over Lithuania in the reverse fixture.
A tense encounter will be more about avoiding defeat for the hosts, but they may well claim maximum points by picking off their opponents on the break.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lithuania win with a probability of 65.5%. A draw has a probability of 21.4% and a win for Cyprus has a probability of 13.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (13.5%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Cyprus win it is 1-0 (5.34%).
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