World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Second Round
Jun 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Beausejour Stadium
St Lucia2 - 2Aruba
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - North Central America Second Round clash between Saint Lucia and Aruba.
Form, Standings, Stats
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Haiti 2-1 St Lucia
Thursday, June 6 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Thursday, June 6 at 10pm in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Aruba 0-2 Curacao
Sunday, June 9 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Sunday, June 9 at 1am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
| Current League C Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cayman Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | US Virgin Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aruba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Aruba had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Aruba win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saint Lucia | Draw | Aruba |
38.49% ( 0.06) | 26.36% ( 0.05) | 35.15% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 52.92% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.2% ( -0.22) | 51.8% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.43% ( -0.19) | 73.56% ( 0.19) |
| Saint Lucia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( -0.06) | 26.27% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.61% ( -0.09) | 61.39% ( 0.09) |
| Aruba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( -0.17) | 28.22% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.08% ( -0.22) | 63.92% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Saint Lucia 38.49%
Aruba 35.15%
Draw 26.35%
| Saint Lucia | Draw | Aruba |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 38.49% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.15% |
How you voted: St Lucia vs Aruba
Saint Lucia
50.0%Draw
30.0%Aruba
20.0%10
Form Guide
