Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Finland win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Finland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Finland | Draw | Ukraine |
| 39.1% | 28.41% | 32.49% |
| Both teams to score 46.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.96% | 60.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.73% | 80.26% |
| Finland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.14% | 29.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.05% | 65.95% |
| Ukraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.87% | 34.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.18% | 70.81% |
| Score Analysis |
Finland 39.1%
Ukraine 32.48%
Draw 28.41%
| Finland | Draw | Ukraine |
| 1-0 @ 12.31% 2-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 3% 3-2 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 0.97% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.51% Total : 39.1% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.41% | 0-1 @ 10.95% 1-2 @ 7.12% 0-2 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.48% |
How you voted: Finland vs Ukraine
Finland
23.5%Draw
30.0%Ukraine
46.5%170
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
1-1
Finland
Jun 11, 2017 5pm
Nov 12, 2016 7.45pm
