
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 7pm UK

Tunisia3 - 1Zambia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 21.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.
Result | ||
Tunisia | Draw | Zambia |
54.54% | 23.53% | 21.92% |
Both teams to score 52.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.39% | 47.61% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.19% | 69.81% |
Tunisia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.66% | 17.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.28% | 47.72% |
Zambia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.95% | 36.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.17% | 72.83% |
Score Analysis |
Tunisia 54.54%
Zambia 21.92%
Draw 23.53%
Tunisia | Draw | Zambia |
1-0 @ 10.95% 2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 9.6% 3-1 @ 5.72% 3-0 @ 5.6% 3-2 @ 2.92% 4-1 @ 2.51% 4-0 @ 2.46% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.73% Total : 54.54% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 6.25% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 6.38% 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.25% 1-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.92% |
How you voted: Tunisia vs Zambia
Tunisia
73.3%Draw
6.7%Zambia
20.0%30
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2021 2pm
Second Round
Zambia
0-2
Tunisia
Khazri (8' pen.), Ben Slimane (90+2')
Sassi (53'), Khazri (54'), Ali Ben Romdhane (78'), Laidouni (87')
Sassi (53'), Khazri (54'), Ali Ben Romdhane (78'), Laidouni (87')
Jan 22, 2015 4pm
Group Stage
Zambia
1-2
Tunisia