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Tunisia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Nov 16, 2021 at 7pm UK
 
Zambia national football team

Tunisia
3 - 1
Zambia

Laidouni (18'), Drager (31'), Maaloul (43')
Khazri (62')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Sakala (80')
Mwape (15'), Chiluya (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Tunisia and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tunisia would win this match.

Result
TunisiaDrawZambia
54.54%23.53%21.92%
Both teams to score 52.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39%47.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19%69.81%
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.66%17.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.28%47.72%
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.95%36.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17%72.83%
Score Analysis
    Tunisia 54.54%
    Zambia 21.92%
    Draw 23.53%
TunisiaDrawZambia
1-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.6%
3-1 @ 5.72%
3-0 @ 5.6%
3-2 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 2.51%
4-0 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 54.54%
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 6.25%
2-2 @ 4.99%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.38%
1-2 @ 5.7%
0-2 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 21.92%

How you voted: Tunisia vs Zambia

Tunisia
Draw
Zambia
Tunisia
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Zambia
20.0%
30
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2021 2pm
Second Round
Zambia
0-2
Tunisia

Chapa (17'), Chilufya (33')
Khazri (8' pen.), Ben Slimane (90+2')
Sassi (53'), Khazri (54'), Ali Ben Romdhane (78'), Laidouni (87')
Jan 22, 2015 4pm
Group Stage
Zambia
1-2
Tunisia
Mayuka (59')
Kalaba (51'), Munthali (79')
Akaichi (70'), Chikhaoui (89')
rhs 2.0
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