World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Second Round
Oct 7, 2021 at 5pm UK
Eq Guinea2 - 0Zambia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Equatorial Guinea win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Equatorial Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Zambia win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Equatorial Guinea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Zambia |
| 41.63% | 25.72% | 32.65% |
| Both teams to score 54.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.46% | 49.54% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.43% | 71.57% |
| Equatorial Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.39% | 23.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.32% | 57.68% |
| Zambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% | 28.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.49% | 64.5% |
| Score Analysis |
Equatorial Guinea 41.63%
Zambia 32.65%
Draw 25.71%
| Equatorial Guinea | Draw | Zambia |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 4.24% 3-0 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.63% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.77% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.46% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 2.2% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.64% Total : 32.65% |
How you voted: Eq Guinea vs Zambia
Equatorial Guinea
27.3%Draw
31.8%Zambia
40.9%22
