Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wehen Wiesbaden win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wehen Wiesbaden win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wehen Wiesbaden would win this match.
