Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Djurgardens IF had a probability of 26.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Djurgardens IF win was 1-0 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.