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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
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Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 23, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Nacional

Guimaraes
2 - 2
Nacional

Silva (24' pen.), Santos (49')
Handel (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aguiar Tomich (9'), Aurelio (90+3')
Vitor (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-1 Fiorentina
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Benfica
Thursday, December 19 at 5pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Nacional

 It has been a difficult first half of the season for newly-promoted Nacional, who find themselves languishing at the wrong end of the table heading into the new year.    Guimaraes, meanwhile, made it seven straight home games without defeat with their midweek stalemate against Fiorentina, claiming five wins and two draws, and we are backing them to see off the Alvinegros, who have struggled to impose themselves on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 67.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 11.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawNacional
67.94% (-0.149 -0.15) 20.09% (0.263 0.26) 11.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 42.93% (-1.134 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.98% (-1.345 -1.35)50.02% (1.338 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (-1.212 -1.21)72% (1.204 1.2)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.26% (-0.462 -0.46)13.74% (0.455 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.98% (-0.91800000000001 -0.92)41.01% (0.911 0.91)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.76% (-1.046 -1.05)50.23% (1.039 1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.18% (-0.733 -0.73)84.82% (0.72500000000001 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 67.93%
    Nacional 11.97%
    Draw 20.09%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawNacional
1-0 @ 13.7% (0.51 0.51)
2-0 @ 13.59% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 9% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.19% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-0 @ 4.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.77% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 67.93%
1-1 @ 9.43% (0.074 0.07)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.367 0.37)
2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.09%
0-1 @ 4.75% (0.116 0.12)
1-2 @ 3.25% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.64% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 11.97%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Nacional

Vitoria de Guimaraes
88.9%
Draw
4.4%
Nacional
6.7%
45
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Nacional
1-0
Guimaraes
Mendes (7')
Fernandes (15'), Rochez (44'), Azouni (51'), Silvio (59'), Ibrahim Alhassan (81'), Bessa (84'), Rochinha (84')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 12
Guimaraes
3-1
Nacional
Quaresma (22'), Estupinan (51'), Kal (61' og.)
Mensah (33'), Fernandes (41'), Andre (67')
Gorre (16')
Azouni (19'), Gorre (58')
> Preview
May 5, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 32
Guimaraes
2-2
Nacional
Toze (11' pen.), Hanin (78')
Wakaso (4'), Davidson (45'), Hanin (87'), Dodo (87')
Wakaso (24')
Coelho (82'), Alhassan (92')
Arabidze (12'), Campos (60'), Alhassan (64'), Camacho (65'), Goncalves (69')
Jan 2, 2019 6pm
Gameweek 15
Nacional
1-0
Guimaraes
Camacho (9')
Rochez (22'), Hamzaoui (66'), Franca (78')

Davidson (12'), John (27'), Celis (46'), Osorio (53')
Mar 31, 2017 9pm
Nacional
1-2
Guimaraes
Sayed (91')
Sequeira (52'), Cesar (56'), Facchini (94'), Sayed (95')
Correia (95')
Miranda (25'), Texeira (86')
Ferreira (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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