Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Dec 23, 2024 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa

Estrela Amadora
1 - 0
Rio Ave

Gabriel Coelho Oliveira (37')
Martins Travassos (58'), Jesus (81'), Bucca (90+10'), Cabral (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Novais (52'), Morais (82'), Aguilera (90+8')
Petit (90+9'), Neto (90+13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Monday, December 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-2 Guimaraes
Monday, December 16 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

We said: Estrela Amadora 1-2 Rio Ave

Though Rio Ave have been poor defensively this season, it is difficult to see Estrela scoring more than once given their struggles in the final third. Additionally, the visitors have been somewhat resurgent of late away from home, and it would not be surprising if they claimed all three points on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Rio Ave has a probability of 27.3% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Rio Ave win is 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.64%).

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	Rio Ave
45.93% ( 1.68)	26.76% ( -0.05)	27.3% ( -1.62)

Both teams to score 48.51% (

-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.03% (

-0.61)

55.97% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.93% (

-0.5)

77.07% (

0.5)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.68% (

0.55)

24.32% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.29% (

0.77)

58.71% (

-0.77)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.1% (

-1.61)

35.9% (

1.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.33% (

-1.69)

72.68% (

1.69)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 45.93%

Rio Ave 27.3%

Draw 26.76%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.47) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.5% Total : 45.93%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.76%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.32) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.96% Total : 27.3%

How you voted: Estrela Amadora vs Rio Ave

Estrela Amadora

24.0%

Draw

28.0%

Rio Ave

48.0%

Head to Head

Apr 14, 2024 3.30pm

Gameweek 29

Estrela Amadora

2-2

Rio Ave

Cordeiro (43'), Kikas (88')
Lima (29'), Nanu (45+1')

Aderlan (12'), Vrousai (90+9')
Patrick (86')

> Preview

Dec 2, 2023 3.30pm

Gameweek 12

Rio Ave

1-1

Estrela Amadora

Aderlan (81')
Oudrhiri (21'), Rodrigues (66'), Graca (90+5'), Nobrega (90+1')

Sa (86' og.)
Pereira Martins (25')

> Preview

Form Guide

Porto 2-0 Estrela Amadora

Estrela Amadora 2-1 Arouca

Farense 1-0 Estrela Amadora

Benfica 7-0 Estrela Amadora

Estrela Amadora 2-0 Nacional

Sporting Lisbon 5-1 Estrela Amadora

Rio Ave 2-2 Guimaraes

Santa Clara 1-0 Rio Ave

Rio Ave 3-2 Moreirense

Alverca 2-2 Rio Ave (2-4 pen.)

Boavista 0-2 Rio Ave

Rio Ave 2-2 Casa Pia

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Estrela Amadora
1 - 0
Rio Ave