Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 53.35%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.