Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hammarby would win this match.
