Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 76.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Falkenbergs had a probability of 8.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.95%) and 3-0 (10.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for a Falkenbergs win it was 0-1 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.