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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 10
Jul 24, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo

Gimnasia
1 - 0
Lanus

Aleman (29' pen.)
Aleman (30'), Guiffrey (64'), Morales (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aude (31'), Loaiza (35'), Careaga (51'), Acosta (75'), Boggio (86')
Aude (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and Lanus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

Last Six:
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Gimnasia
Friday, July 22 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Lanus

Last Six:
Last Game: Lanus 2-2 Velez Sarsfield
Thursday, July 21 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Gimnasia 1-0 Lanus

 Gimnasia have turned their home ground into a real fortress, and they are huge favourites to emerge victorious here. While we expect Lanus to give a good account of themselves, we are also tipping the hosts to come out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Lanus had a probability of 21.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Lanus win it was 0-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gimnasia in this match.

Result
GimnasiaDrawLanus
54.41% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1) 24.57% (0.012 0.01) 21.01% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.46% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17% (0.039000000000001 0.04)52.82% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55% (0.033000000000001 0.03)74.44% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)19.34% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.88% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)51.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.08% (0.109 0.11)39.92% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.42% (0.101 0.1)76.58% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 54.41%
    Lanus 21.01%
    Draw 24.57%
GimnasiaDrawLanus
1-0 @ 12.68% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.57%
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 54.41%
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.39% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.26% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 21.01%

How you voted: Gimnasia vs Lanus

Gimnasia
100%
Draw
0.0%
Lanus
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2021 8.30pm
Lanus
2-0
Gimnasia
Manuel Lopez (14'), Gonzalez (36')
Belmonte (28'), Bernabei (34'), Thaller (35'), Manuel Lopez (44'), Aguirre (83')

Insaurralde (38')
Carbonero (28')
Apr 3, 2021 8.15pm
Gimnasia
2-4
Lanus
Licht (22', 82')
Aleman (29'), Licht (67')
Perez (15', 33'), Esquivel (46'), De la Vega (80')
Aude (29'), Belmonte (38'), Esquivel (63')
Jul 27, 2019 9.45pm
Lanus
1-1
Gimnasia
Valenti (21')
Di Placido (94')
Garcia (60')
Mussis (34'), Ayala (69'), Melluso (70'), Caire (86'), Gomez (89'), Tijanovich (94')
Caire (94')
Feb 9, 2019 12.10am
Lanus
2-0
Gimnasia
Sand (36' pen.), Di Placido (44')
Belmonte (55')

Gonzalo (45'), Faravelli (70'), Guanini (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823
> Argentine Primera Division Full Table


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