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Real Valladolid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 9
Nov 8, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Jose Zorrilla
Athletic Bilbao logo

Real Valladolid
2 - 1
Athletic Bilbao

Orellana (19' pen.), Maranhao (48')
Hervias (38'), Alcaraz (66'), Masip (71'), Garcia Carnero (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Williams (86' pen.)
Simon (17'), Muniain (66')

Preview: Real Valladolid vs. Athletic Bilbao - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Athletic Bilbao, including team news and predicted lineups.

Real Valladolid's search for their first La Liga win of the season will continue this weekend as they welcome Athletic Bilbao to Estadio Municipal Jose Zorrilla.

Sergio's side are currently bottom of the table with just three points to show from their eight matches thus far, while Athletic are 11th in the division with nine points from their opening seven games.


Match preview

Real Valladolid boss Sergio in February 2019.© Reuters

There is no getting away from the fact that it has been a disappointing start to the season for Valladolid, who have picked up just three points from their opening eight matches to sit rock bottom of the division.

The White and Violets are one of just two La Liga teams - the other being Huesca - yet to win a match this season, which will concern their supporters, even at this relatively early stage of the campaign.

Sergio's side are the joint-lowest scorers in Spain's top flight with just five goals, while they will enter this weekend's contest off the back of a 2-0 defeat at Villarreal.

Valladolid have actually only picked up one point from their last five league matches, and the early indications are that they could be in for a tough battle to retain their top-flight status this term.

Athletic Bilbao boss Gaizka Garitano in March 2020.© Reuters

Athletic, meanwhile, will enter Sunday's clash in good form, having won two of their last three in the league, including an impressive 2-1 home success over Sevilla last weekend.

The Basque club fell behind in the early stages of the clash with the Europa League winners but late goals from Iker Muniain and Oihan Sancet secured an important three points.

Six points from the last nine available has helped Athletic move into 11th position in the table, but they have still lost four of their seven matches in Spain's top flight during an inconsistent start.

Gaizka Garitano's side finished 11th in La Liga last term, and it is difficult to imagine them pushing towards the European spots in 2020-21 considering that they were unable to improve their squad over the summer.

Athletic will be eyeing another three points on Sunday, though, and the Basque side recorded a 4-1 victory when they last locked horns with Valladolid back in March.

Real Valladolid La Liga form: DLLDLL

Athletic Bilbao La Liga form: WLLWLW


Team News

Athletic Bilbao's Inaki Williams in action against Real Madrid's Sergio Ramos in La Liga on July 5, 2020© Reuters

Valladolid will be without the services of Kiko Olivas through injury, while Javi Sanchez is a doubt.

Nacho Martinez is back after serving a suspension against Villarreal, though, and the Spaniard is expected to return to the back four for this weekend's contest.

Head coach Sergio is likely to shuffle his pack for Sunday's clash, with Sergi Guardiola and Jawad El Yamiq both in line for starting spots, but Shon Weissman should keep his spot in the final third of the field.

As for Athletic, Kenan Kodro, Ibai Gomez, Peru Nolaskoain and Oscar De Marcos remain unavailable for selection, meaning that options for change are firmly limited.

Muniain came off the bench to score against Sevilla last time out and is now expected to return to the starting side, joining Alex Berenguer, Raul Garcia and Inaki Williams in attacking positions.

Unai Lopez is also likely to return to the midfield alongside Dani Garcia, while Ander Capa and Yuri Berchiche will continue in the full-back positions for the away side.

Real Valladolid possible starting lineup:
Masip; Perez, Fernandez, Yamiq, Nacho; Orellana, Alcaraz, Emeterio, Villa; Weissman, Guardiola

Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup:
Simon; Capa, Alvarez, Martinez, Yuri; D Garcia, Lopez; Berenguer, R Garcia, Muniain; Williams


SM words green background

We say: Real Valladolid 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

Valladolid's form this season has been extremely disappointing, but Athletic appear to have turned a corner since the October international break. Garitano will be desperate for his side to pick up another three points ahead of the next two-week break, and we fancy the visitors to triumph on Sunday evening.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.58%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Athletic Bilbao?

Real Valladolid
20.0%
Draw
10.0%
Athletic Bilbao
70.0%
20
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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