Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Rukh Brest had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Rukh Brest win was 1-0 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.