Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Brest win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Slutsk had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Slutsk win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rukh Brest would win this match.