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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 27
Nov 3, 2024 at 12pm UK
Stadyen Junatstva

Smorgon
1 - 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk

Likhtin (57')
Levkovets (19'), Camara (64'), Shalashnikov (84'), Askarov (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Skshinecki (35'), Godyaev (42'), Ageev (45+2'), Poznyak (82')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Smorgon and Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slavia Mozyr 0-0 Smorgon
Friday, October 25 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Tuesday, October 29 at 4pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Smorgon in this match.

Result
SmorgonDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
42.74% (0.324 0.32) 25.11% (-0.181 -0.18) 32.14% (-0.147 -0.15)
Both teams to score 56.32% (0.55399999999999 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.93% (0.742 0.74)47.07% (-0.746 -0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.69% (0.689 0.69)69.31% (-0.69199999999999 -0.69)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (0.47199999999999 0.47)21.99% (-0.475 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (0.711 0.71)55.3% (-0.71400000000001 -0.71)
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (0.27 0.27)27.79% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.62% (0.345 0.34)63.38% (-0.349 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Smorgon 42.74%
    Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 32.14%
    Draw 25.11%
SmorgonDrawArsenal Dzerzhinsk
1-0 @ 9.26% (-0.158 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.98% (0.044 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.53% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.54% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 42.74%
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.11% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.83% (-0.185 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.14%

Head to Head
Jun 16, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 12
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2-0
Smorgon
Godyaev (51'), Radikovskiy (53')
Radikovskiy (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Dinamo Minsk25195147103762
2Neman27193541192260
3Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ26157440202052
4Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest27136859342545
5Vitebsk27125102923641
6Gomel27101073526940
7BATE BorisovBATE27107103131037
8IslochIsloch2798103228435
9SlutskSlutsk27105122540-1535
10Arsenal Dzerzhinsk2796122836-833
11Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr27710102731-431
12FC MinskFC Minsk2769122839-1127
13Smorgon2669112844-1627
14Naftan27410132643-1722
15Dnepr Mogilev2729162352-2915
16Shakhtyor SoligorskSoligorsk2757151740-232


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