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Belarusian Premier League | Gameweek 7
May 7, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stadyen Junatstva

Smorgon
1 - 0
Naftan

Nuradin (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kirilenko (77')
Coverage of the Belarusian Premier League clash between Smorgon and Naftan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Smorgon

All competitions
Last Game: BATE 2-0 Smorgon
Saturday, April 29 at 5pm in Belarusian Premier League

Naftan

All competitions
Last Game: Naftan 0-3 Dinamo Brest
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Belarusian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Smorgon win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Smorgon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Naftan win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Smorgon in this match.

Result
SmorgonDrawNaftan
44.32% (-0.2 -0.2) 24.99% (0.183 0.18) 30.69% (0.026 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.07% (-0.596 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.89% (-0.784 -0.78)47.11% (0.794 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (-0.734 -0.73)69.35% (0.744 0.74)
Smorgon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (-0.414 -0.41)21.29% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.65 -0.65)54.22% (0.659 0.66)
Naftan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (-0.374 -0.37)28.77% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (-0.472 -0.47)64.61% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Smorgon 44.32%
    Naftan 30.69%
    Draw 24.99%
SmorgonDrawNaftan
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.192 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.71% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.82% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 44.32%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.05% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 30.69%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal Dzerzhinsk00000000
2BATE BorisovBATE00000000
3Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest00000000
4Dinamo Minsk00000000
5Gomel00000000
6IslochIsloch00000000
7FC MinskFC Minsk00000000
8MKK-Dnepr00000000
9Molodechno-DYuSSh 400000000
10Naftan00000000
11Neman00000000
12Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr00000000
13SlutskSlutsk00000000
14Smorgon00000000
15Torpedo-BelAZTorpedo-BelAZ00000000
16Vitebsk00000000
> Belarusian Premier League Full Table


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