Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 65.39%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Zulte Waregem had a probability of 16.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 3-1 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Zulte Waregem win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.