Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Leuven had a probability of 16.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Leuven win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.