Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
