Brasileiro | Gameweek 14
Aug 1, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Arena Conda
Chapecoense0 - 1Santos
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sanchez (43' pen.)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Santos in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chapecoense | Draw | Santos |
| 33.85% | 27.44% | 38.7% |
| Both teams to score 49.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
