Flamengo

2 - 1

Fortaleza

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (4.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.