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Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 2, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Atletico Mineiro

Juventude
1 - 2
Atletico Mineiro

Moraes (76')
Matheus (28'), Yuri (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hulk (30' pen.), Sasha (56')
Mariano (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Juventude and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 0-0 Juventude
Sunday, June 26 at 10pm in Brasileiro

We said: Juventude 0-2 Atletico Mineiro

Despite a recent reshuffle in attack, Juventude have been lightweight up front this season, so have turned to a more defensive approach under new management. However, the attacking options available to Atletico are far superior, and they should post a third straight Serie A win without too much trouble. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 56.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 18.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
JuventudeDrawAtletico Mineiro
18.94% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 24.67% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 56.39% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.46% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)55.54% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29% (-0.052 -0.05)76.72% (0.051999999999992 0.05)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.24% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)43.76% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.08% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)79.92% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.38% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)19.62% (0.038 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.42% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)51.58% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Juventude 18.94%
    Atletico Mineiro 56.39%
    Draw 24.66%
JuventudeDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.78%
2-0 @ 2.93% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 18.94%
1-1 @ 11.55%
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.89% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 13.98% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 11.38%
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 6.18% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.11% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.52% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 2.08% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 56.39%

How you voted: Juventude vs Atletico Mineiro

Juventude
33.3%
Draw
9.5%
Atletico Mineiro
57.1%
21
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2021 10pm
Atletico Mineiro
2-0
Juventude
Hulk (72' pen., 76')
Mariano (44')

Jadson (45+1'), Dawhan (79')
Aug 8, 2021 8pm
Juventude
1-2
Atletico Mineiro
Paulinho (45+1')
Forster (61')
Hulk (77'), Silva (90+1')
Borrero (52'), Rodrigues de Souza (72'), Jair (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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