Brasileiro | Gameweek 15
Jul 2, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
We said: Juventude 0-2 Atletico Mineiro
Despite a recent reshuffle in attack, Juventude have been lightweight up front this season, so have turned to a more defensive approach under new management. However, the attacking options available to Atletico are far superior, and they should post a third straight Serie A win without too much trouble.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 56.39% . A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 18.94% .
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.98% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.38%) and 1-2 (9.41%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%) , while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (7.1%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
Result Juventude Draw Atletico Mineiro 18.94% ( 0.01) 24.67% ( 0.02) 56.39% ( -0.03)
Both teams to score 45.21% ( -0.04)
44.46% ( -0.06) 55.54% ( 0.06)
23.29% ( -0.05) 76.72% ( 0.05)
56.24% ( -0.02) 43.76% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 20.08% ( -0.02) 79.92% ( 0.02)
80.38% ( -0.04) 19.62% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 48.42% ( -0.06) 51.58% ( 0.06)
Juventude 18.94%
Atletico Mineiro 56.39%
Draw 24.66%
Juventude Draw Atletico Mineiro 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.78% 2-0 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.32% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 18.94% 1-1 @ 11.55% 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 24.66% 0-1 @ 13.98% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.18% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.62% Total : 56.39%
How you voted: Juventude vs Atletico Mineiro
Juventude
Draw
Atletico Mineiro
21
rhs 2.0
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