Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Aug 2, 2022 at 12am UK
Vila Belmiro, Santos
Santos2 - 2Fluminense
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Santos and Fluminense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-0 Santos
Sunday, July 24 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, July 24 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Bragantino | 20 | 8 | 30 |
9 | Santos | 19 | 6 | 26 |
10 | Sao Paulo | 20 | 3 | 26 |
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Fluminense
Friday, July 29 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
Friday, July 29 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Corinthians | 20 | 6 | 38 |
3 | Fluminense | 19 | 9 | 34 |
4 | Athletico Paranaense | 20 | 5 | 34 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 29.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (7.97%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Santos | Draw | Fluminense |
41.42% ( 2.74) | 29.16% ( -0.48) | 29.42% ( -2.26) |
Both teams to score 43.18% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.7% ( 0.96) | 63.29% ( -0.96) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.32% ( 0.69) | 82.68% ( -0.69) |
Santos Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.87% ( 2.12) | 30.13% ( -2.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.72% ( 2.47) | 66.28% ( -2.47) |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.8% ( -1.21) | 38.2% ( 1.21) |