Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.9%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.