Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
