MX23RW : Thursday, January 16 18:44:23| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga
Heidenheim
Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Koln logo

Heidenheim
4 - 1
FC Koln

Dinkci (16', 22'), Sessa (36'), Beste (78')
Kleindienst (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Tigges (64')
Kainz (30'), Hubers (52'), Maina (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: FC Koln 3-2 Union Berlin
Saturday, May 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Heidenheim 2-1 FC Koln

 Heidenheim have something to fight for, which is bad news for Koln, and we are finding it difficult to look past a home win here. Koln have drawn eight of their 16 away league games this season, but they could come up short on Saturday afternoon to have their relegation confirmed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
HeidenheimDrawFC Koln
41.18% (-1.881 -1.88) 23.49% (0.432 0.43) 35.33% (1.444 1.44)
Both teams to score 63.14% (-1.233 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.42% (-1.771 -1.77)38.58% (1.766 1.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.12% (-1.897 -1.9)60.87% (1.89 1.89)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (-1.523 -1.52)19.12% (1.518 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.24% (-2.579 -2.58)50.76% (2.573 2.57)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.07% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)21.92% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.8% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)55.19% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 41.18%
    FC Koln 35.33%
    Draw 23.48%
HeidenheimDrawFC Koln
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-0 @ 6.93% (0.247 0.25)
2-0 @ 5.74% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.242 -0.24)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.2 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.99% (-0.235 -0.24)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.18 -0.18)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 41.18%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.36 0.36)
2-2 @ 6.61% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.19% (0.342 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.26 0.26)
0-1 @ 6.36% (0.51 0.51)
0-2 @ 4.83% (0.38 0.38)
1-3 @ 4.04% (0.126 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.189 0.19)
1-4 @ 1.53% (0.045 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.33%

How you voted: Heidenheim vs FC Koln

Heidenheim
56.4%
Draw
23.6%
FC Koln
20.0%
55
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
FC Koln
1-1
Heidenheim
Selke (29')
Chabot (12'), Hubers (41'), Pentke (89')
Beck (55')
Pieringer (16')
> Preview
Apr 7, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 28
Heidenheim
0-2
FC Koln

Andrich (64')
Drexler (10'), Cordoba (41')
Modeste (44'), Czichos (64')
Oct 27, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 11
FC Koln
1-1
Heidenheim
Guirassy (58')
Hoger (1'), Hector (45')
Beermann (9')
Dorsch (45'), Griesbeck (66'), Beermann (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern17133153134042
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen17115141231838
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt17103440241633
4RB Leipzig179352924530
5Stuttgart178543226629
6Mainz 05Mainz178453021928
7Wolfsburg178363829927
8Freiburg178362530-527
9Werder Bremen177553132-126
10Borussia DortmundDortmund177463229325
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach177372626024
12Augsburg175481933-1419
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin174581423-917
14St Pauli1742111221-914
15Heidenheim1742112336-1314
16Hoffenheim173592034-1414
17Holstein Kiel1732122543-1811
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1723121437-239
> Bundesliga Full Table


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