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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Heidenheim

Freiburg
1 - 1
Heidenheim

Doan (29')
Grifo (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sessa (38')
Sessa (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Freiburg
Saturday, May 4 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-1 Mainz
Sunday, May 5 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 1-1 Heidenheim

While Heidenheim could overtake Freiburg with a win this weekend, the spoils could be shared at the Europa-Park-Stadion, with Schmidt's men continuing a decent road run that has seen them lose once in nine away games. Five of those nine matches have been tied, and another draw could be in the offing on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawHeidenheim
43.72% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 23.22% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 33.06% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 63.46% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.11% (0.029999999999994 0.03)37.88% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.86% (0.031999999999996 0.03)60.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.23% (0.034999999999997 0.03)17.77% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.53% (0.057000000000002 0.06)48.47% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.82% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.54% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 43.72%
    Heidenheim 33.06%
    Draw 23.22%
FreiburgDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 8.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 7.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 6.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.8% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.51% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 43.72%
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 6.61% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.18% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 33.06%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Heidenheim

Freiburg
51.3%
Draw
33.3%
Heidenheim
15.4%
39
Head to Head
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Heidenheim
3-2
Freiburg
Dinkci (52'), Kleindienst (84'), Ginter (90+2' og.)
Schoppner (33'), Fohrenbach (37'), Gimber (63')
Holer (7', 64')
Gulde (5'), Sildillia (36'), Rohl (60'), Hofler (76')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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