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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Heidenheim |
43.72% ( 0.05) | 23.22% ( -0.01) | 33.06% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 63.46% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.11% ( 0.03) | 37.88% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.86% ( 0.03) | 60.14% ( -0.03) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.23% ( 0.03) | 17.77% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.53% ( 0.06) | 48.47% ( -0.06) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.18% ( -0.01) | 22.82% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.46% ( -0.02) | 56.54% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Heidenheim |
2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.01% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 3.91% Total : 43.72% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 53 | 13 | 40 | 42 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 38 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 40 | 24 | 16 | 33 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 30 |
5 | Stuttgart | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 19 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 17 |
14 | St Pauli | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
15 | Heidenheim | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 14 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 25 | 43 | -18 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 9 |
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