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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 13 | 12 |
5 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 7 | 5 | 12 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Union Berlin | 6 | 9 | 14 |
3 | Freiburg | 6 | 5 | 13 |
4 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 13 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
46.01% ( -0.43) | 23.75% ( 0.13) | 30.24% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 60.1% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.29% ( -0.44) | 41.71% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.89% ( -0.45) | 64.11% ( 0.45) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.63% ( -0.35) | 18.37% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.51% ( -0.59) | 49.49% ( 0.59) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% ( -0.02) | 26.37% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.47% ( -0.03) | 61.52% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.56% Total : 46.01% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.46% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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