MX23RW : Wednesday, February 12 01:19:40| >> :60:3479:3479:
Bayern logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 2, 2021 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Benfica

Bayern
5 - 2
Benfica

Lewandowski (26', 61', 84'), Gnabry (32'), Sane (49')
Upamecano (51'), Kouassi (69')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Morato (38'), Nunez (74')
Verissimo (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.98%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBenfica
48.98%23.62%27.4%
Both teams to score 58.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.12%42.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72%65.28%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.35%17.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.74%48.26%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.08%28.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21%64.79%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 48.98%
    Benfica 27.4%
    Draw 23.61%
Bayern MunichDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 9.53%
1-0 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 7.68%
3-1 @ 5.51%
3-0 @ 4.44%
3-2 @ 3.42%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.48%
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 48.98%
1-1 @ 10.98%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.1%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 3.93%
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 27.4%

How you voted: Bayern vs Benfica

Bayern Munich
87.0%
Draw
8.1%
Benfica
4.9%
246
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-4
Bayern

Otamendi (45'), Mario (51')
Sane (70', 84'), Everton (80' og.), Lewandowski (82')
Upamecano (56'), Hernandez (59')
Nov 27, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Bayern
5-1
Benfica
Robben (13', 30'), Lewandowski (36', 51'), Ribery (76')
Robben (24'), Ribery (33')
Fernandes (46')
Semedo (87')
Sep 19, 2018 8pm
Group Stage
Benfica
0-2
Bayern

Fejsa (22'), Jardel (39')
Lewandowski (10'), Sanches (54')
Kimmich (18'), Hummels (52')
Apr 13, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
2-2
Bayern
Apr 5, 2016 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-0
Benfica
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool23175156213556
2Arsenal24148249222750
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest24145540271347
4Chelsea24127547311643
5Manchester CityMan City24125748351341
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle24125742291341
7Bournemouth24117641281340
8Aston Villa2410773437-337
9Fulham249963632436
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2481063538-334
11Brentford2494114242031
12Crystal Palace247982830-230
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2485112834-629
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs24831348371127
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham2476112946-1727
16Everton236892328-526
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2454153452-1819
18Leicester CityLeicester2445152553-2817
19Ipswich TownIpswich2437142249-2716
20Southampton2423191854-369


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!