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Championship header 2

Championship
Cardiff City logo
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Swansea logo

Cardiff
vs.
Swansea

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-1 Watford
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Championship

Swansea City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Swansea
Sunday, January 12 at 4.30pm in FA Cup

We say: Cardiff City 1-1 Swansea City

 The freshest legs at the Cardiff City Stadium will no doubt belong to the visitors, but Williams could be working around a diminished defence yet again, and his side are hardly pulling up trees on the road. As was the case in September, we can envisage another closely-contested derby ending all square, as the Bluebirds remarkably play out their fourth 1-1 Championship draw in succession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 30.51% and a draw has a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.52%).

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
43.15% (2.154 2.15) 26.34% (0.17 0.17) 30.51% (-2.325 -2.33)
Both teams to score 51.64% (-1.426 -1.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.17% (-1.432 -1.43)52.83% (1.43 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.55% (-1.234 -1.23)74.45% (1.234 1.23)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.7% (0.455 0.45)24.3% (-0.455 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.32% (0.638 0.64)58.67% (-0.639 -0.64)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.21% (-2.308 -2.31)31.78% (2.307 2.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.78% (-2.733 -2.73)68.21% (2.731 2.73)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 43.14%
    Swansea City 30.51%
    Draw 26.33%
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.92% (0.74 0.74)
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.171 0.17)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.617 0.62)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.134 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.335 0.34)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.066 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.29% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 43.14%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.427 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.424 -0.42)
0-2 @ 5.07% (-0.371 -0.37)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.353 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.221 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.279 -0.28)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.51%

Who will win Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff and Swansea?

Cardiff City
Draw
Swansea City
Cardiff City
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Swansea City
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Swansea
1-1
Cardiff
Cullen (10')
Allen (90+6'), Ng (90+10')
Robinson (79')
Darling (90+10'), Colwill (90+11')
Bulut (91')
> Preview
Mar 16, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cullen (34'), Lowe (90+6')
Darling (17'), Allen (21')

Meite (17')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Cardiff
2-0
Swansea
Tanner (71'), Ramsey (86' pen.)
Tanner (81')

Fulton (57')
> Preview
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cardiff
2-3
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (35'), Kaba (83')
Piroe (3'), Cullen (33'), Cabango (90+9')
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cooper (38'), Obafemi (67')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921
> Championship Full Table


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