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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Swansea logo

Portsmouth
4 - 0
Swansea

Murphy (22'), Lane (29'), Towler (61'), Bishop (78')
Pack (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 3-0 Portsmouth
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Luton
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Swansea City

Pompey may have lost their final two matches of 2024, but they will now return to Fratton Park where they are unbeaten in four games, and we think that they will do enough to extend that undefeated streak by holding Swansea to a draw in the New Year's Day fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawSwansea City
32.82% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 25.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 41.98% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.26% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)47.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)69.49% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.55% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)22.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.02% (0.014000000000003 0.01)55.98% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 32.82%
    Swansea City 41.98%
    Draw 25.2%
PortsmouthDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 32.82%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 41.98%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Swansea

Portsmouth
28.9%
Draw
35.5%
Swansea City
35.5%
76
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swansea
2-2
Portsmouth
Ogilvie (45+2' og.), Cullen (54')
Cabango (9')
Ritchie (25'), Murphy (45')
Pack (1'), Mousinho (2'), Ritchie (35'), Cullen (36'), Blair (83'), Dozzell (83')
Apr 23, 2011 3pm
Portsmouth
0-0
Swansea
Kitson (23'), Nugent (29'), Hogg (86')
Borini (66'), Monk (83'), Britton (90')
Nov 26, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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