Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.