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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo

Middlesbrough
2 - 0
Sheff Weds

Ihiekwe (41' og.), Jones (73')
Greenwood (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vaulks (33'), Beadle (40'), Famewo (79'), Iorfa (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Swansea
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Sheffield Wednesday

Despite the difference in league positions, this has the makings of being a hard-fought contest. We fancy Wednesday to be competitive throughout, perhaps even leading at one stage, but Boro are playing with the kind of confidence that suggests that they could prevail through a late goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 60.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 17.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawSheffield Wednesday
60.95% (0.139 0.14) 21.68% (-0.044 -0.04) 17.37% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.22% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.98% (0.029999999999994 0.03)46.02% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.67% (0.028000000000002 0.03)68.32% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (0.053000000000011 0.05)14.62% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.27% (0.103 0.1)42.72% (-0.105 -0.1)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.98% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)40.01% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.33% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)76.66% (0.088000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 60.94%
    Sheffield Wednesday 17.37%
    Draw 21.68%
MiddlesbroughDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.81% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 6.93% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.35% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.17% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 60.94%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.85% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.68%
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 17.37%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Sheff Weds

Middlesbrough
82.8%
Draw
6.9%
Sheffield Wednesday
10.3%
29
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Sheff Weds
1-1
Middlesbrough
Musaba (38')
Windass (31'), Byers (86')
Lenihan (53')
Jones (48')
Apr 24, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 44
Middlesbrough
3-1
Sheff Weds
Bolasie (20'), Coburn (73'), Watmore (81')
McNair (27')
Windass (39' pen.)
Dec 29, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 22
Sheff Weds
2-1
Middlesbrough
Paterson (30'), Shaw (40')
Bannan (45+3'), Palmer (88')
Watmore (49')
Saville (42'), Morsy (45+3')
Jul 22, 2020 7.30pm
Sep 28, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 9
Middlesbrough
1-4
Sheff Weds
McNair (19')
Clayton (5' og.), Iorfa (6'), Reach (23'), Fletcher (34')
Bannan (72'), Nuhiu (76'), Luongo (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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