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Championship | 2nd Leg
May 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
West Brom logo

Southampton
3 - 1
West Brom

Smallbone (49'), Armstrong (78', 86' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kipre (90+7')
Mowatt (75'), Swift (82'), Kipre (89'), M'Vila (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton claim a comfortable 3-1 win over West Bromwich Albion to seal their place in the Championship playoff final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Southampton and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Southampton
Sunday, May 12 at 2.15pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Southampton
Sunday, May 12 at 2.15pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
54.82% (-0.177 -0.18) 22.32% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.85% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 58.13% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.79% (0.061 0.06)41.21% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.39% (0.061 0.06)63.6% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.03% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)14.97% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.6% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)43.4% (0.07 0.07)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (0.163 0.16)31.63% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (0.188 0.19)68.04% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 54.82%
    West Bromwich Albion 22.85%
    Draw 22.32%
SouthamptonDrawWest Bromwich Albion
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.58% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 54.82%
1-1 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.32%
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 22.85%

How you voted: Southampton vs West Brom

Southampton
72.7%
Draw
11.7%
West Bromwich Albion
15.6%
231
Head to Head
Feb 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 33
West Brom
0-2
Southampton

Thomas-Asante (44'), Yokuslu (50')
Corberan (45')
Fraser (14'), Brooks (73')
Smallbone (55')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Southampton
2-1
West Brom
Smallbone (5'), Armstrong (79')
Downes (36'), Martin (37'), Holgate (43'), Alcaraz (86')
Bartley (65')
Apr 12, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 31
West Brom
3-0
Southampton
Pereira (32' pen.), Phillips (35'), Robinson (69')
Oct 4, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 4
Southampton
2-0
West Brom
Djenepo (41'), Romeu (69')
Djenepo (50'), Walker-Peters (53')

Livermore (26')
rhs 2.0
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