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Championship | Gameweek 36
Apr 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Preston North End logo

Southampton
3 - 0
Preston

Adams (19', 29'), Armstrong (33')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Mawene (1'), Lowe (2'), Holmes (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 3-2 Watford
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 2-1 Preston North End

Considering that an average of 3.9 goals have been scored across the last seven competitive meetings between these two teams, another entertaining end-to-end contest could be on the cards on Wednesday. Both sides will fancy their chances of claiming three precious points, but we believe that Southampton, motivated by recent slip-ups from Leicester and Leeds, will find a way to come out on top on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 12.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawPreston North End
69.11% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 18.45% (0.0010000000000012 0) 12.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 49.58% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)41.85% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)64.25% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)11.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.7% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)35.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)44.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.64% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)80.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 69.09%
    Preston North End 12.44%
    Draw 18.45%
SouthamptonDrawPreston North End
2-0 @ 11.86%
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.73% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.9%
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 69.09%
1-1 @ 8.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 18.45%
0-1 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-2 @ 3.57%
0-2 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.07%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 12.44%

How you voted: Southampton vs Preston

Southampton
82.6%
Draw
6.6%
Preston North End
10.8%
213
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Preston
2-2
Southampton
Osmajic (52'), Potts (55')
Whiteman (42'), Millar (80'), Cunningham (90+1')
Walker-Peters (33'), Evans (90+6' og.)
Smallbone (22'), Bazunu (45+1'), Bednarek (90+8')
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
1-3
Southampton
Bodin (19')
Ings (11', 44'), Vokins (82')
Feb 21, 2009 3pm
Southampton
3-1
Preston
Surman (19'), Saganowski (29', 42')
Euell (74')
Wallace (73')
Nov 1, 2008 3pm
Preston
2-3
Southampton
Jones (36'), Elliott (42')
Pearce (64'), Surman (69'), McGoldrick (90')
McGoldrick (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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