Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 85.79%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 3.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (13.53%) and 0-4 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.83%), while for a Grenada win it was 1-0 (1.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA would win this match.