World Cup | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2022 at 7pm UK
USA1 - 1Wales
The Match
Match Report
Gareth Bale rescues a point for Wales in a 1-1 draw with the USA in their World Cup 2022 Group B opener at the Ahmad bin Ali Stadium.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup clash between USA and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Wales could line up for their World Cup opener against USA at the Ahmed bin Ali Stadium on Monday.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 0-0 USA
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iran | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Wales had a probability of 18.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Wales |
58.33% ( 14.47) | 23.61% ( -1.86) | 18.05% ( -12.62) |
| Both teams to score 46.66% ( -7.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
